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  • 访问量: 643
  • 日志数: 3
  • 建立时间: 2015-08-02
  • 更新时间: 2015-08-05

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I am an English fan and a forex trader. I like to write in English to talk with English friends. If you also like Forex, you can visit: http://www.forextea.com

我的最新日志

  • Forex Wave analysis and forecast of 17.07

    2015-8-05

    EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 17.07 – 24.07: The formation of the downward correction continues.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1210.

    Our opinion: Wait for the completion of the upward correction and sell the pair below the level of 1.1210 with the target of 1.08 – 1.07. 

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    Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.1210 and consolidation below this level, will enable the price to continue decline to 1.08 – 1.07.

    Analysis: The formation of the “bearish” correction of the senior level continues in the wave 2. Locally, it is assumed that the wave С of 2 is being developed within which the impetus as the wave (a) of C has been formed and the upward correction as the wave (b) of C can be developed. If this assumption is correct, after its completion the pair will continue to decline to 1.08 – 1.07. Critical level for this scenario is 1.1210. Breakdown of this level will enable the pair to resume the rise.
    EURUSD H1 

    EURUSD H4

    GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 17.07 – 24.07: The pair is likely to grow.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.5328.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.5328 with the target of 1.58 – 1.63.

    Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5328 will enable the pair to continue decline to 1.50.

    Analysis: Presumably, the wave С of 2 continues to develop as part of the “bullish” correction of the senior level. At the moment it seems that the formation of the local correction as the wave ii of C has completed. At the same time the third wave is being developed, within which the wave (i) of iii seems being formed. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.5328, the pair can continue to rise up to 1.63 in the third wave.
    GPBUSD H1 

    GPBUSD H4 

    USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 17.07 – 24.07: The pair is likely to grow.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9326.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 0.9326 with the target of 0.9840. In case of breakdown of the level of 0.9326, sell with the target of 0.91.

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9326 will allow the decline to continue to 0.91 – 0.90.

    Analysis: Presumably, the third wave of the senior level 3 continues to develop; within this wave the one-two wedge (i) of iii of 3 has been formed and the local correction (ii) of iii has completed. If this assumption is correct, the pair can continue to grow up to 0.9840. Critical level for this scenario is 0.9326.
    USDCHF H1 

    USDCHF H4

    USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 17.07 – 24.07: Growth in the pair has resumed.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 120.35.

    Our opinion: In the short-term: wait for the completion of the impetus and sell the pair with the target of 122.50 – 122.00. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the correction and buy the pair above the level of 120.35 with the target of 126.00 – 128.00.

    Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price below the level of 120.35 will trigger the decline in the pair to 118.00 – 117.00.

    Analysis: The American dollar is strengthening against the Japanese Yen. Due to the resumed growth in the pair we can assume that the fifth wave continues to develop in the long-term “bullish” trend. At the moment it is likely that the one-two impetus as the first wave (i) is being formed in the third wave iii of 5. If this assumption is correct, after its completion we can expect the local correction to the levels of 122.50 – 122.00. In the medium-term the pair is likely to grow. Critical level for this scenario is 120.35.
    USDJPY H1

    USDJPY H4

    USDJPYDaily

    USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of for 17.07 – 24.07: Uptrend continues.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2650.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.2650 with the target of 1.3060 – 1.33. 

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.2650 enable the pair to continue decline to 1.25 – 1.24.

    Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave of the senior level iii of 5 is nearing completion. Locally, it is likely that the “bullish” impetus is being developed in the fifth wave of the junior level (v) of iii. If this assumption is correct, the pair can continue to grow up to 1.3060. It is possible that from this level the local correction will develop in the fourth wave of the senior level. Critical level for this scenario is 1.2650.
  • Forex trading Analysis Report 0731

    2015-8-05

    EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 24.07 – 31.07: The pair is likely to rise.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.0864.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.0864 with the target of 1.1220 – 1.1435. 


    Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.0864 and consolidation below this level will enable the price to continue decline to the level of 1.07.

    Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the “bearish” correction of the senior level has completed in the wave 2, which currently has a shape of a zigzag. Locally, it seems that a small one-two impetus has been developed. If this assumption proves to be correct, after the completion of the correction the pair will continue to rise to the levels of 1.12 – 1.14. Critical level for this scenario is 1.0864. Breakdown of this level will enable the pair to continue decline to the level of 1.07.
    EURUSD H1 

    EURUSD H4 

    GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 24.07 – 31.07: The pair is likely to grow.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.5328.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.5328 with the target of 1.58 – 1.63.

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5328 will enable the price to continue decline to the level of 1.50. 

    Analysis: Presumably, the wave С of 2 continues to develop as part of the upward “bullish” correction of the senior level. At the moment, it seems that the wave iii of C is being formed, within which the one-two wedge as the wave (i) of iii has developed, and the wave (ii) is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.5328, the pair will continue to grow to the level of 1.63 in the third wave.
    GPBUSD H1 

    GPBUSD H4 

    USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 24.07 – 31.07: Uptrend continues.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9519.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair from the correction above the level of 0.9519 with the target of 0.9840. In case of breakdown of the level of 0.9519, sell the pair with the target of 0.93.

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9519 will trigger the decline in the pair to the level of 0.93.

    Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave of the senior level 3 continues. Within this wave the third wave (iii) of 3 is being formed. Locally, it seems as if the correction as the fourth wave iv of (iii) has completed and the price is likely to rise up to 0.9840. Critical level for this scenario is 0.9519.
    USDCHF H1

    USDCHF H4 

    USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 24.07 – 31.07: Local correction is being formed.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 124.50.

    Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 124.50 with the target of 122.80 – 122.40. In case of breakdown of the level of 124.50, buy the pair with the target of 126.50.

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 124.50 will enable the price to continue to rise up to 126.50, as part of the upward trend.

    Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the one-two impetus as the first wave (i) has completed in the third wave iii of 5 of the senior level. Locally, the local correction is being developed to the levels 38 - 50%, 122.85 – 122.40. Critical level for this scenario is 124.50.
    USDJPY H1

    USDJPY H4

    USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of for 24.07 – 31.07: Upward trend continues; correction is possible.

    Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2912.

    Our opinion: Buy the pair from the correction above the level of 1.2912 with the target of 1.33. In case of breakdown of the level of 1.2912, sell the pair with the target of 1.2674.

    Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.2912 will enable the pair to continue to decline to 1.2674.

    Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave iii of 5 of the senior level has completed. Locally it is likely that the “bullish” impetus in the fifth wave of the junior level (v) of iii is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, after the breakdown of the level 1.2912, the correction as the fourth wave of the senior level will evolve. At the moment, it is possible that the pair will continue to grow and the extension in the third wave will develop.
  • Wave analysis and forecast of 31.07 – 07.08

    2015-8-03

    EUR/USD Wave forex analysis and forecast of 31.07 – 07.08: The pair is undergoing correction from our forex broker's view. The price is likely t grow.Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.0805.Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.0805 with the target of 1.1220 – 1.1435.Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.0805 and consolidation below this level will trigger furtherи decrease in price up to 1.07.Analysis: The formation of the first one-two wave (i) in the shape of the diagonal has completed in the assumed third wave of the senior level. Locally it is likely that the downward correction as the wave (ii) has completed. In case this assumption is confirmed and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.08, the price can continue to rise up to 1.12 – 1.14. Breakdown of the critical level will enable the price to continue to decline to 1.07.GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 31.07 – 07.08: The pair is likely to grow.Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.5460.Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.5460 with the target of 1.58 – 1.61.Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5460 will allow the decline in the pair to continue to 1.50. Analysis: Presumably, wave С of 2 continues to develop in the upward “bullish” correction of the senior level. At the moment, it is likely that the third wave iii of C is being developed, within which the corrective wave (ii) has completed and the third wave of the junior level (iii) started to develop. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.5460, the pair will continue to grow to 1.63 in the third wave. USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 31.07 – 07.08: Uptrend continues; local correction is possible.Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9519.Our opinion: Buy the pair from the correction above the level of 0.9519 with the target of 0.9840. In case of breakdown of the level of 0.9519 sell the pair with the target of 0.93.Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9519 will enable the pair to continue to decline to 0.93.Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave of the senior level 3 continues. Within this wave the third wave (iii) of 3 of the junior level has completed. Locally it seems that the decline has started within the correction as the fourth wave (iv) of iii. After the completion of the correction the rise in the pair is expected to continue. Critical level for this scenario is 0.951.USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 31.07 – 07.08: Local correction is being formed.Estimated pivot point is at a level of 122.97.Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 122.97 with the target of 126.50.Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 122.97 will enable the pair to continue decline to 121.90 as part of correction.Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the local correction as the wave (ii), which has reached the corrective level of 38%, has completed. Locally, it seems that the third wave (iii) is being formed. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 122.97, the pair will continue to rise up to 126.50. In case of breakdown of the critical level, the correction will continue to 50 – 62%.USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of for 31.07 – 07.08: Uptrend continues.Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3105.Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair from the correction below the level of 1.3105 with the target of 1.27. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the correction and buy the pair with the target of 1.33.Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3105 will enable the pair to continue the rise up to 1.33.Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave iii of 5 of the senior level, within which the impetus has formed, came to completion. Locally, it is likely that the “bearish” correction is being formed, within which a zigzag (a)(b)(c) can develop. If this assumption is correct, and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.3105, the pair will continue to decline to 1.27.
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